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"Deadly YR4 Asteroid May Strike Earth — What To Know"
There’s a 1.3% chance that asteroid 2024 YR4 could strike Earth, according to calculations by NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, which suggest that any collision will occur on Dec. 22, 2032. However, Sky and Telescope is reporting that the chances of a collision could be as high as 6%, according to calculations by Sam Deen, a California-based amateur astronomer.
2024 YR4 is only the second asteroid whose impact risk has reached greater than a 1% chance. The other is asteroid 99942, better known as “Apophis” — named after the Egyptian god of chaos — which may potentially threaten Earth in 2029, 2036 or 2068.
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